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British Economist: Much UK Energy Cost Rise is Due to Political Anti-Russia Sanctions_我的网站

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一 |     The UK government has rolled out the Energy Bills Support Scheme, under which British households will start receiving £400 ($488) off their energy bills from October, with the discount made in six instalments to help families throughout the winter period.,However, the measure does not seem to be enough to save the day, given that Brits have found themselves caught between nearly two-digit inflation and soaring mortgage payments, according to Rodney Atkinson, an academic and political and economic commentator.,"Once the government lost control of monetary policy (or indeed deliberately printed money during COVID in order to debase its own debt) then there are no easy ways out," Atkinson said. "The British government has offered all households energy subsidies and those on support programs more. But now interest rates are rising and although this raises the value of the pound and reduces import and energy costs, the overall effect is more suffering. Mortgage costs and business debt costs have been rising for months.",Increasing energy bills all across Europe are whipping inflation up even further. On July 27, the Guardian made an attempt to blame reduced gas flows through Russia's Nord Stream 1 for the soaring energy prices, while shying away from shedding light on the energy embargo introduced by the US, the UK and the EU against Russia's hydrocarbons. The US and the UK have been in the vanguard of anti-Russia sanctions since Moscow launched its special military operation to demilitarize and de-Nazify Ukraine on February 24, 2022.,"Because much of the rise in costs is due to the political anti-Russia sanctions; changes in monetary policy will have little effect and are not quick enough," emphasized Atkinson. "Only a retreat on oil sanctions by the EU will drive down oil prices (which is already happening). Biden and the EU’s attempts to persuade the Middle East producers of oil and gas to increase production were a failure.",Sunak Vows ‘Radical’ Income Tax Cut as Truss Team Accuses Ex-Chancellor of ‘Another U-Turn’1 August, 08:12 GMT,New British Cabinet Will Have a Lot on Its Plate,While the British government has pledged to slash at least part of Brit’s energy expenditures, the question arises as to where No. 10 will find this money, given that both Tory candidates for prime minister, Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak, have vowed to cut taxes considerably.,"In an election, the promises are all about cutting taxes and increasing expenditure - a very dangerous combination which is unsustainable," warned Atkinson. "There are many state subsidies and expenditures which could be cut (to justify the tax cuts) but no one likes to mention them. And Truss seems to be piling up ever more spending promises.",Still, it is clear that the new British cabinet will have to exert much effort to prevent people from taking to the streets. The British economist presumes that No. 10 "will have to offer greater subsidies to those caught by the high winter fuel prices.",Nonetheless, "the continuing high profitability of energy producers and energy utilities will further increase the public’s anger at big business and multi nationals who are also seen as not paying their fair share of tax," Atkinson projected.,"Voters are becoming more and more cynical but there are no politicians in any party capable of understanding the fundamental problem of state and corporate profit combined with voter weakness and consumer poverty," he underscored.。    

据悉,上周多家美国媒体报道拜登政府准备对中国电动汽车“下狠手”,以所谓的“国家安全”等名义对中国电动汽车企业加征100%的关税,且还要向医疗器械等商品征收新关税。美媒称预计新关税施加之后,中国电动汽车对美出口会有巨大的影响,但同时美方也做好了“被反制”的准备,对华出口汽车预计也会遭到对应的限制措施。总之就是和去年一样,所有的后果都由英特尔等芯片企业买单,美企的亏损由自己承担就行了。
11日,美媒彭博社发表了一篇题目为“美国丧失了竞争的勇气”的文章,批评拜登政府和美国车企在对中国的各项竞争中采取的“缩头”政策。文章称拜登在早前出台了《通货膨胀削减法》,对美国汽车企业进行大额的补贴,他们自信能在世界上取得领先。但数据很快不留情面地给了拜登沉重一击——各大企业经营状况都不好,比如特斯拉准备进行10%的裁员、通用公司的年度报表很难看、福特宣布削减预定的120亿美元电动车支出计划等。在得到政府补助之后,企业看起来仍然很萎靡。
接下来美国就必须要面临全球最大的电动汽车挑战了,中国在电动汽车转型中非常成功,可以说是无缝过渡到新领域。

二 | 再加上成本、供应链的整合问题,即使是特斯拉一样的企业在中国也竞争力平平。最后,美国决定不“迎战”中国而是选择将对华电动汽车关税提高三倍至100%,用了一个几乎没有说服力的“安全”理由。现在美国将头埋在沙子里,车企们甚至将能源转型视为一场噩梦,对中国的竞争非常恐惧。

三 |

分析则提及,拜登选择“避战”是因为他们只有这一个选项,如果打开国家大门,车企可能因此被冲垮。其一是美方在过去几年试图降低供应链成本,将电车部件转移到墨西哥、拉美和亚洲国家来做,到现在都没有完成;其二是车企早些年已经开始被美国创造的“高关税”温床所包围,美国汽车在这种环境中根本没有竞争对手来挑战,但他们的环境也越来越奇怪,就像是鸟儿进化去掉了翅膀。

四 | 其三是政府和资本家们根深蒂固的关系,车企害怕和中国正面碰撞而求助于政客们,政客则直接为其提供便利将外来危险关在门外面,形成了一个死循环。

值得一提的还有,之前福特汽车一名匿名消息人士的话报道称,福特第一季度每卖出一辆电动汽车的亏损超过10万美元,美媒高度质疑这一数字“不真实”,旨在恐吓拜登政府。这证明了美国车企的文化现在已经变成“畏惧变革”的保守派,越是打不过的情况下越不敢打。对此有评论称:“别忘了欧洲光伏产业是怎么在温床是‘死去’的,早在2011年中国和欧洲发展还差不多,但中国领先优势进入欧盟后,欧盟立刻用关税关上了大门。时隔6年欧洲无法躲开中国太阳能企业重新打开大门时,欧盟内部的光伏公司简直是活在旧时代的人,生产的产品对全世界没有一丝一毫吸引力了。”

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Published on:08:18:05