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How FBI's Raid Gave Boost to Trump, Reinvigorated GOP Base Ahead of Midterms_我的网站
A | "A large part of former President Trump's popularity with his supporters is that he fights back against the establishment, whether it be the 'swamp' in Washington, DC, or the political party elites," says Timothy Hagle, a political science professor at the University of Iowa. "He has certainly been speaking out about the raid, but we will have to wait to see if anything comes of it. By that I mean whether there are any charges actually filed. Unlike most Americans, and aside from his media platforms, Trump has the resources to fight what he thinks are unfair actions by the government.",The FBI's unannounced search of Donald Trump's premises in Mar-a-Lago, Florida has reinvigorated his base, a Politico/Morning Consult survey shows. 58 percent of Republican voters said they would vote for the former president if the 2024 Republican presidential primary were today. The share of support is visibly up from 54% in July and 53% in June, according to the pollsters. Likewise, a whopping 71% of GOP voters insist that Trump should run for president in 2024. Moreover, 72% of Republicans said they disagreed with the Mar-a-Lago raid.,Sputnik ExplainsFirst Assange, Now Trump: How Espionage Act of 1917 Became a Political Tool15:16 GMT,The Daily Mail argues, however, that the poll was conducted prior to the release of the FBI's search warrant and receipt, which showed that the bureau took at least 11 sets of classified documents from Trump's Florida house, with the Justice Department having probable cause to carry out the search based on possible Espionage Act abuses.,However, on August 13, Fox News broke that the FBI had allegedly laid their hands on documents shielded by client-attorney and executive privilege, with Donald Trump taking to his social media platform Truth Social and demanding that the documents in question be returned. The president lambasted the bureau for the raid, insisting that it was unnecessary and unjustified given that all documents in his possession were declassified and he and his team were ready to provide access to them any time.,"For the FBI to raid the home of the 45 President of the United States, or any President for that matter, is totally unheard of and unthinkable," Trump wrote on Sunday. "This Break In was a sneak attack on democracy (our Republic!), and was both unannounced and done at a time when the President was not even present.",Trump supporters reacted passionately to the ex-president's posts by rallying outside Mar-a-Lago and Trump's Bedminster, New Jersey golf club. They were seen holding signs reading "Save America" and "You raided the wrong president.",Sputnik ExplainsHow Trump's 2024 Bid & Jan 6 Committee's Effort to Delegitimize Him May Pan Out19 July, 18:41 GMT,Midterm Elections at Stake,The unfolding situation will definitely backfire on the upcoming November midterm elections, according to Hagle.,"The overall effect on the midterm elections will vary depending on how the situation plays out," the political science professor says. "Trump supporters, and Republicans more generally, were already quite motivated to vote in the midterms, but this just intensifies that desire. Democrats were less motivated and the party was desperately searching for something to get their base motivated. Some thought the Supreme Court's abortion decision might do so, but that doesn't seem to have happened beyond a certain group of core voters.",Hagle notes that Democrats were successful with an "anti-Trump" approach in 2020; he believes that they would like to try that again.,"The thinking might be that if Trump is, figuratively, on the ballot it would help them in the midterms," the academic remarks. "I'm not so sure. There may be some who get more motivated with an anti-Trump fervor, but the economy will still be the key for the important voters who are less concerned about politics and more about day to day living.",The FBI raid came after mainstream media reports that Trump may announce his presidential bid in September 2022 or even earlier. Politico and The Washington Post reported in mid-July that the former president had met with top Republican donors, discussing the midterms and a potential 2024 campaign.,The DoJ investigation into Trump triggered speculation that he may announce his new presidential bid very soon, the Daily Mail reports, also referring to a new "campaign-style video" released by the ex-president on his Truth Social platform.,Meanwhile, Republican Senator Rand Paul has called on US lawmakers to repeal the 1917 Espionage Act, after it turned out that the DoJ suspects Trump of violating Section 793 of the law. Section 793 specifically addresses "gathering, transmitting or losing defense information," and also includes refusal to return information that is demanded by the government.,"I don't think it's realistic to suggest that it be repealed," says Hagle. "It's more likely that certain limitations could be placed on it to help prevent the abuses that people perceive are occurring with it.",In addition to that, there are assumptions that the FBI raid was nothing short of a fishing expedition connected to the probe by the House Select Committee on January 6 Attack aimed at delegitimizing him before the 2024 race.,"The Justice Department should 'show that this was not just a fishing expedition, that they had due cause to go in and to do this, that they did exhaust all other means," Republican Senator Mike Rounds told NBC's Meet the Press, suggesting that the release of the FBI's affidavit would help. "And if they can't do that, then we've got a serious problem on our hands."。
B | AI摘要 赖清德宣布明年普发现金1万元，吴子嘉痛批此举系选举买票。他指出台湾产业两极化严重，当局应解决民生困境而非撒钱讨好选民，政策本末倒置。 台湾地区领导人赖清德17日宣布，2027年度总预算将在收支平衡、实质零举债的基础上，编列2357亿元（新台币，下同）经费，于明年普发现金每人1万元，宣称落实“AI红利，民众共享”，让民众分享产业经济成果。对此，台湾“美丽岛电子报”董事长吴子嘉强力抨击，直言选举年普发现金根本是买票操作，行为低级又恶劣，民进党当局不深耕产业、纾解民生困境，反而撒钱讨好选民，完全本末倒置。 据赖清德办公室说明，本次总预算收入上调至3.9266万亿元，在纳入民众普发现金预算后，依旧维持财政收支平衡，无新增净额债务。赖清德声称，台湾依托AI、高效运算、云端产业蓬勃发展，带动半导体、资通讯产业及制造供应链出口、投资双增长，因此将经济成长红利回馈民众。 针对这项政策，吴子嘉17日公开反对，直言这一万块根本不该发。他强调，当下台湾最迫切的问题并非全体分红，而是传统产业衰退、就业失衡、民生压力沉重，民进党当局理应将财政资源投入传统产业辅导、就业救济与产业优化，而非流于短期撒钱造势。 吴子嘉直接点破政策背后的选举考量，痛批民进党当局在县市选举前夕推出普发现金，本质就是公然买票，是极其低级、恶劣的政治操作。他举例，高雄螺丝等传统产业持续受冲击，中年劳工失业、再就业困境愈发严峻，台湾产业结构性失衡问题突出，呈现“高端科技产业缺工、基层劳工求职无门”的矛盾现状。 他进一步痛陈底层民众的真实困境，AI红利仅集中在少数科技产业，广大受薪族群、传统产业与服务业从业者根本无法受益。以北漂青年为例，多数年轻人月薪仅3万至4万元，夫妻合计月收入6万至8万元，在台北扣除房租、日常开销后所剩无几，根本无力承担育儿成本。 更有无数基层民众身兼多职，白天在早餐店务工、晚上在商超兼职，还要负担长辈长期照护开销，家庭经济压力濒临极限。吴子嘉感慨，当下台湾产业两极化严重，科技行业红利爆棚、基层百姓度日艰难，俨然是“朱门酒肉臭，路有冻死骨”的台湾悲惨世界，民进党当局无视深层民生痛点，只求撒钱换选票，完全不负责任。
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